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Grassroots venue loss is an inventory problem, not a news cycle

Closure counts make headlines and explain very little. Capacity supply, tracked at room level, tells cities what they have actually lost.

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Capacity read as a stock rather than a sequence of closure events. · Live Index generative data portrait, no underlying values plotted.

A closure is an event; capacity is a stock. Cities that track only the first learn how many rooms shut in a given year, but not whether the circuit they depend on still exists at the capacities that matter.

Rooms, not addresses

Multi-room buildings are the most common source of double counting in venue data. A single address with three rooms is three units of programming capacity, and losing one of them is a real loss that an address-level count will miss entirely.

Replacement is the question that matters

Capacity lost in the under-350 band is rarely replaced in the same band. When it is replaced at all, it tends to reappear at a larger capacity in a different part of the city, which changes who can realistically play and who can realistically attend.

  • Track open, dormant and closed as distinct states; dormancy usually precedes closure.
  • Record licensed capacity per room, not advertised capacity per building.
  • Exclude seasonal and temporary capacity from structural supply.
  • Confirm closures independently before entering them.

What cities can do with this

An inventory supports policy questions a closure count cannot answer: whether a licensing change altered supply, whether new development replaced what it displaced, and which capacity bands a market no longer has.

Sources and citations

Publication record

The structured record for this document. Classification is drawn from the Live Index controlled vocabulary so relationships between people, subjects, places and measurements stay consistent across the platform.

Content type
Study
Primary topic
Venues
Secondary topics
Venue EconomicsCultural InfrastructureUrban DevelopmentAdaptive Reuse
Themes
InfrastructureIndependenceResilienceLocalism
Economic concepts
Supply ConstraintsFixed CostsExternalities
Data portrait
Capacity stock depleting unevenly across bands · lattice
Methodology
What we measure

Corrections and revisions

  • revision ·

    Capacity-band definitions were aligned with the venue inventory dataset after publication. No reported figures changed; the band labels did.

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